Category Coronavirus

Weekly update number 38 on the coronavirus in the DC area. Decided to update my picture to something very current.

This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 12,087 new cases. While this is still very high, it is an improvement. Last week there were 15,323 new cases, the week before that 15,790 new cases, the week before that there were 10,892 new cases and seven weeks ago there were only 4,256 new cases. We are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is still struggling with 13K new cases reported for yesterday.  It remains high in the UK (37K yesterday, was 19K a week ago), France (12K), Spain (11K) and Russia (28K). It is still growing in Germany (36K). The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 195K new cases yesterday, slightly down from 216K new cases two Tuesdays ago. This is in contrast to places like China (78 cases), Japan (2,658), South Korea (1,090), Taiwan (4), Vietnam (6), Singapore (29), Australia (18) and New Zealand (7). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 cases twenty-five weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 9:22 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….25,602…..26,900……..744
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………7,594……8,121……..169
Alexandria VA……………160,530.…..…6,367……6,782……….84
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….37,693…..40,483……..660
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………..146……….157……..…6
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..250………281……….10
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..……12,193..…12,925…….154
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011….….21,678..…23,041…….247
Manassas…………………..41,641….……2,612…….2,708……..29
Manassas Park………….…17,307…………836…..…869………..8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….4,207……4,578……..23
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.………..860………941…..….8
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……..40,500….42,551…1,069
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……..48,718….51,006…1,042
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…….209,256..221,343..4,253

This is a 6% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 1.92%. Last week, there were 139 new fatalities reported out of 12,087 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 1.15%. This increased mortality rate is almost certainly driven by people who got ill several weeks ago, so in sense, the figures are now catching up from the lower mortality rates over the last few weeks. The population known to have been infected is 4.13% or one confirmed case for every 24 people. The actual rate of infection has been higher, perhaps as much as 4 times higher.

One notes a difference in the statistics between Washington DC and Fairfax County. Washington DC has 1 case per 26 people while it has 1 death per 944 people. Fairfax Country has 1 case per 28 people while it has 1 death per 1,744 people. I suspect the primary (but not the only) driver of these differing statistics is that DC is under-reporting the number of people infected.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the upcoming Christmas holidays. Many of the students are now home until mid-to-late January.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 4,098 cases (3,905 last week) and 40 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 3,386 cases (3,035 last week) and 38 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 2,089 confirmed cases (2,036 last week) and 34 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 2,509 confirmed cases (2,351 last week) and 29 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. This is definitely worth looking at, as you can see how they were able to bring the virus under control with a student body of 25,000. Apparently college students are more responsible than many adults. 

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 4,853 cases this week (4,565 last week) and 32 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Keep in mind all these increases in this towns is occurring while the universities are not in session. It is currently growing faster than it was when they were, reinforcing my point that college students appear to be more responsible than many adults.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 3,591 cases yesterday. Last week it was 3,160 and the week before 3,860 cases. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has 888 cases (812 last week) and 5 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

The decision as to whether someone is ruled to have died of the coronavirus or other natural causes is sometimes a judgment call. I have discussed before that Belgium records almost as many deaths as Germany does, yet has reported less cases then Germany has. Many people have attributed these differences to how they choose to report cases, with Germany being very strict in their reporting of when some passes away from Coronavirus. Just to give some comparative statistics (as of 722 AM):

Country…..Population….Cases…….Deaths

Germany………83.12…….1,541,775…..27,156

France…………67.15…….2,535,781…..61,019

UK……………..66.80…….2,079,678…..67,718

Italy…………….59.39…….1,964,054…..69,214

Spain…………..47.33…….1,819,249…..49,260

Netherlands…..17.54……….711,540…..10,606

Belgium……….11.55……….626,911…..18,697

Czechia……….10.71………..635,414….10,562

Austria………….8.94………..342,226……5,540

 

Population is estimates for 2020 and is in the the millions.

So, for example Germany has one death for every 57 reported cases, Belgium has one death for every 34 reported cases, whereas the UK has one death for every 31 reported cases. Of course, this is also influenced by the extent of testing. Measured to total population, Germany has one death for every 3,061 people while Belgium has one death for every 618 people (and UK has one death for every 986 people).

Now the United States (population: 330.85 million) has 18,032,824 reported cases and 319,466 reported deaths. This comes out to one death for every 56 reported cases or one death for every 1,036 people. 

I did notice an article published yesterday by AP about the estimated number of deaths in the United States for 2020: https://www.yahoo.com/news/us-deaths-2020-top-3-223015097.html

Highlights:

1. Around 3.2 million Americans have died of all causes in 2020.
   1. There were 2,854,838 deaths in 2019.
   2. Deaths usually rise by 20,000 to 50,00 each year.
2. Excess deaths for 2020 is around 400,000 more than 2019.
3. These are preliminary figures.
4. This is an increase is total deaths by 15% from 2019 to 2020.
5. The increase from 1917 to 1918 (Spanish Flu) was 46%.

So, it does appear that the U.S. excess death totals are in line with the reported number of cases recorded as died of Coronavirus.

Weekly update number 37 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 15,323 new cases. Last week there were 15,790 new cases, the week before there were 10,892 new cases and six weeks ago there were only 4,256 new cases. This has slide out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is still struggling with 15K new cases reported for yesterday.  It remains high in the UK (19K yesterday), France (12K), Spain (10K) and Russia (26K). It is still growing in Germany (34K, up from 29K last week). The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 198K new cases yesterday, slightly down from 216K new cases last Tuesday. This is in contrast to places like China (110 cases), Japan (1,672), South Korea (1,078), Taiwan (2), Vietnam (3), Singapore (16), Australia (12) and New Zealand (4). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 cases twenty-four weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 2:26 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….23,854…25,602..…..720
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………7,062…..7,594……166
Alexandria VA……………160,530.…..…5,950…..6,367……..82
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….34,996…37,693..….648
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………..128……..146………6
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..232…….250…..…10
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..……11,270…12,193..….154
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011….….20,080…21,678..….244
Manassas…………………..41,641….……2,440….2,612…..…29
Manassas Park………….…17,307…………776…….836…..….8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….3,811…..4,207…….23
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.………..795…….860……….8
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……..37,194…40,500..1,039
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……..45,345…48,718..1,007
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425……193,933..209,256..4,114

This is a 8% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 1.98%. Last week, there were 101 new fatalities reported out of 15,323 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 0.66%. The population known to have been infected is 3.90% or one confirmed case for every 26 people.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the upcoming Christmas holidays. Many of the students are now home until mid-to-late January.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,905 cases (3,680 last week) and 40 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 3,035 cases (2,667 last week) and 38 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 2,036 confirmed cases (1,958 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 2,351 confirmed cases (2,161 last week) and 28 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. This is definitely worth looking at, as you can see how they were able to bring the virus under control with a student body of 25,000. Apparently college students are more responsible than many adults. 

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 4,565 cases this week (4,260 last week) and 30 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Keep in mind all these increases in this towns is occurring while the universities are not in session. It is currently growing faster than it was when they were.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 3,160 cases yesterday. Last week it was 3,860 and the week before 2,228 cases. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 812 cases (744 last week) and 4 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

Weekly update number 36 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 15,790 new cases. This is highest we have seen for this area so far. Last week there were 10,892 new cases, the week before 11,293 new cases, and five weeks ago there were only 4,256 new cases. Around three months ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up. This has slide out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is still struggling with 15K new cases reported for yesterday, down from the 23K reported two weeks ago. Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. In the UK (12K yesterday, down from 13K one week ago), France (14K up from 10K), Spain (17K on 11/7, up from 12K), Germany (29K, up from 25K) and Russia (26K). The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 216K new cases yesterday, up from 180K new cases last Wednesday. This is in contrast to places like China (112 cases), Japan (2,158), South Korea (677), Taiwan (2), Vietnam (10), Singapore (12), Australia (6) and New Zealand (3). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 twenty-three weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 1:28 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….21,842….23,854……..704
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………6,417…..7,062……..162
Alexandria VA……………160,530.…..…5,447……5,950………81
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….31,661….34,996…….629
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………..109……..128…………6
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..212…..…232………10
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..……10,302….11,270…….151
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011….….18,662….20,080…….237
Manassas…………………..41,641….……2,331……2,440………28
Manassas Park………….…17,307…………734….….776……….8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….3,366……3,811…….22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.………..711……….795…..…6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567………34,159…..37,194..1,000
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308………42,190….45,345…..969
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425……178,143…193,933..4,013

This is a 9% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.07%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were 103 new fatalities reported out of 15,790 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 0.65%, although there is a lag between increases in reported cases and increases in mortality. The population known to have been infected is 3.61% or one confirmed case for every 28 people.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the upcoming Christmas holidays. Many of the students are now home until mid-to-late January.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,680 cases (3,493 last week) and 39 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 2,667 cases (2,343 last week) and 36 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,958 confirmed cases (1,864 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 2,161 confirmed cases (1,932 last week) and 27 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. This is definitely worth looking at, as you can see how they were able to bring the virus under control with a student body of 25,000. Apparently college students are more responsible than many adults.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 4,260 cases this week (3,950 last week) and 16 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Keep in mind all these increases in this towns is occurring while the universities are not in session. It is currently growing faster than it was when they were.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 3,860 cases yesterday. Last week it was 2,228. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down. But right now, only one of our 49 states appears to be containing the virus (Hawaii).

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 744 cases (654 last week) and 4 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

Weekly update number 35 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 10,892 new cases. This is lower than last week, but it is still very high. Last week there were 11,293 new cases, the week before that 8,625 new cases, the week before that there were 7,348 new cases and the week before that 4,256 new cases. Around three months ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up. This has slide out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is still struggling with 19K new cases reported for yesterday, down from the 23K reported a week ago. It is bad all across Europe, but appears to be improving. In the UK (13K yesterday, up from 11K one week ago), France (4K on 11/30, down from 10K), Spain (8K, down from 12K), Germany (25K, up from 16K) and Russia (26K, up from 24K). The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 180K new cases yesterday, up from 173K new cases the previous Tuesday. This is in contrast to places like China (91 cases), Japan (2,014, up from 1,232), South Korea (511, up from 382), Taiwan (4), Vietnam (4), Singapore (10), Australia (11) and New Zealand (1). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 twenty-two weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 10:26 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….20,516……21,842….690
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………5,994…….6,417….157
Alexandria VA……………160,530.…..…5,106…..…5,447…..77
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….29,566……31,661….624
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772…………..97…….…109……..6
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.…………205……….212…….9
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..……..9,717……10,302….144
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011….….17,484……18,662….235
Manassas…………………..41,641….……2,250…….2,331……28
Manassas Park………….…17,307………….713………734….…8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….3,134..…..3,366……22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.…………674………711….…6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……..32,005….34,159….966
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……..39,790….42,190…938
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425……167,251…178,143…3,910

This is a 7% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.19%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were 73 new fatalities reported out of 10,892 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 0.67%, although there is a lag between increases in reported cases and increases in mortality. The population known to have been infected is 3.32% or one confirmed case for every 30 people.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the upcoming Christmas holidays. Many of the students are now home until mid-to-late January.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,493 cases (3,397 last week) and 37 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 2,343 cases (2,176 last week) and 37 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,864 confirmed cases (1,823 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,932 confirmed cases (1,840 last week) and 27 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. This is definitely worth looking at, as you can see how they were able to bring the virus under control with a student body of 25,000. Apparently college students are more responsible than many adults.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 3,950 cases this week (3,806 last week) and 16 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 2,228 cases yesterday. This is still not good although it is better than last week. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.  

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 654 cases (597 last week) and 4 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

Weekly update number 34 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 11,293 new cases. This is the largest weekly increase I have seen since I started tracking this for the DC area. Last week there were 8,625 new cases, the week before there were 7,348 new cases and the week before that 4,256 new cases. Around two months ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up. This has slide out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is still struggling with 23K new cases reported for yesterday. It has gotten bad all across Europe, in the UK (11K cases yesterday), France (10K), Spain (12K), Germany (16K) and Russia (24K). These figures are noticeably lower than they were last week for every country listed except Russia. The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 173K new cases yesterday. This is in contrast to places like China (85 cases), Japan (1,232), South Korea (382), Taiwan (1 on 11/23), Vietnam (4), Singapore (18), Australia (10) and New Zealand (8). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 twenty-one weeks ago. It has since increased and appears to be heading back to its old level.. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 11:25 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….19,465……20,516……..677
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………5,512……..5,994…….157
Alexandria VA……………160,530.…..…4,768…..…5,106…..…77
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795……..27,270……29,566..….620
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772……..…..85…………97………..7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.……..…190……….205……….8
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..………9,020…….9,717…….142
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011….…..16,283…..17,484…….236
Manassas…………………..41,641….……2,171….…2,250……..28
Manassas Park………….…17,307…………..686………713…….…8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960………..2,851……3,134..……22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.………..640………674…….…6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567…….29,833……32,005……936
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308…….37,184…..39,790……913
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..155,958….167,251…3,837

This is a 7% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.29%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were 69 new fatalities reported out of 11,293 new cases. This is a mortality rate of more than 0.6%, although there is a lag between increases in reported cases and increases in mortality. The population known to have been infected is 3.12% or one confirmed case for every 32 people.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptying out this week due to Thanksgiving.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,397 cases (3,296 last week) and 37 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 2,176 cases (2,017 last week) and 35 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,823 confirmed cases (1,762 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,840 confirmed cases (1,742 last week) and 26 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. This is definitely worth looking at, as you can see how they were able to bring the virus under control with a student body of 25,000.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 3,806 cases this week (3,502 last week) and 15 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 2,544 cases yesterday. This is sad and is on the increase. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down. Now it is definitely going up. 

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 597 cases (554 last week) and 4 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

Weekly update number 33 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 8,625 new cases. Last week there were 7,348 new cases and the week before 4,256 new cases. Around two months ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up. This is sliding out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is in trouble with 32K new cases reported for yesterday. It is an amazing collapse of control from what they had. It has gotten bad all across Europe, in the UK (20K cases yesterday), France (46K), Spain (20K), Germany (26K) and Russia (22K)  The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 162K new cases yesterday. This is in contrast to places like China (13 cases), Japan (1,690), South Korea (313), Taiwan (2), Vietnam (5), Singapore (6), Australia (19) and New Zealand (3). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 twenty weeks ago. It has since increased and appears to be heading back to its old level.. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 1:26 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….18,379…..19,465……..665
Arlington, VA……………..237,521………5,130……5,512……..156
Alexandria VA……………160,530………4,559……4,768………76
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795……..25,791….27,270….….611
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772…………..82………85…………7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.…………178……..190…….….8
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..….…..8,560……9,020……..136
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011..…….15,462…16,283…..…230
Manassas…………………..41,641…..……2,116…..2,171……….28
Manassas Park………….…17,307..….…….676……..686…………8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….2,661……2,851……….22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.…….….624…..…640…………6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567…….27,969.…29,833……..916
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308…….35,146….37,184….…899
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..147,333…155,958….3,768

This is a 6% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.42%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were 56 new fatalities reported out of 8,625 new cases. This is a mortality rate of more than 0.6%, although there is a lag between increases in reported cases and increases in mortality. The population known to have been infected is 2.91% or one confirmed case for every 34 people. Even if the actual infection rate is four times or more higher, this is a long way from “herd immunity.”

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,296 cases (3,224 last week) and 36 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 2,017 cases (1,933 last week) and 31 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,762 confirmed cases (1,697 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,742 confirmed cases (1,682 last week) and 26 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. They had been having a growth in cases since they reopened, but put in new regulations and restrictions these last few weeks, so the number of new cases has declined and stayed down. So far, they have been doing a decent job at containing this.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 3,502 cases this week (3,295 last week) and 10 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 2,125 cases yesterday. This is sad and is on the increase. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down. Now it is definitely going up. 

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 554 cases (463 last week) and 3 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow. It is growing a lot faster than during the summer.

Weekly update number 32 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 7,348 new cases. Last week there were 4,256 new cases. Over a month ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up. This is sliding out of control and we are still at least six months way from having a vaccine available for everyone.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is in trouble with 35K new cases reported for yesterday. It is an amazing collapse of control from what they had. It has gotten bad all across Europe, in the UK (20K cases yesterday), France (61K on 6 Nov), Spain (21K on 9 Nov), Germany (27K) and Russia (21K)  The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 136K new cases yesterday. This is in contrast to places like China (43 cases on 8 Nov), Japan (1,296), South Korea (146), Taiwan (2), Vietnam (11), Singapore (9), Australia (2) and New Zealand (1). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 nineteen weeks ago. It has since increased and appears to be heading back to its old level.. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 11:25 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….17,524……18,379……..657
Arlington, VA……………..237,521……..4,813……..5,130……..155
Alexandria VA……………160,530………4,377……..4,559………76
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….24,458..….25,791…….609
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………….78…………82……….7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..165…..……178……….8
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..….….8,105……..8,560……134
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011..……14,768..…..15.462……227
Manassas…………………..41,641…..……2,066…..…2,116…….28
Manassas Park………….…17,307..….…….662………..676……..8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….2,480.….…2,661…….22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.…….….603………..624…..…6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567…….26,398…..27,969……899
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308…….33,488…..35,146……876
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..139,985….147,333…3,712

This is a 5% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.52%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were 61 new fatalities reported out of 7,348 new cases. This is a mortality rate of less than 0.8%, although there is a lag between increases in reported cases and increases in mortality. The population known to have been infected is 2.75% or one confirmed case for every 36 people. Even if the actual infection rate is four times or more higher, this is a long way from “herd immunity.”

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,224 cases (3,146 last week) and 35 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 1,933 cases (1,827 last week) and 29 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,697 confirmed cases (1,626 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,682 confirmed cases (1,619 last week) and 24 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. They had been having a growth in cases since they reopened, but put in new regulations and restrictions these last few weeks, so the number of new cases has declined and stayed down. So far, they have been doing a decent job at containing this.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 3,295 cases this week (3,009 last week) and 7 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million)  is still running around 1,000 cases a day (1,435 yesterday) and it seems to be increasing.

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 463 cases (396 last week) and 3 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow.

Weekly update number 31 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 4,256 new cases. Last week there were 4,326 new cases. Over a month ago we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is in trouble with 28K new cases reported for yesterday. It is an amazing collapse of control from what they had. It has gotten bad across Europe, in the UK (20K cases yesterday), France (46K on 1 Nov), Spain (19K), Germany (18K on 2 Nov) and Russia (18K)  The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 92K new cases yesterday. This is in contrast to places like China (55 cases on 2 Nov), Japan (878), South Korea (118), Taiwan (4), Vietnam (10), Singapore (9), Australia (12) and New Zealand (3). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 eighteen weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 7:24 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….16,973..…17,524……647
Arlington, VA……………..237,521……..4,630……4,813……154
Alexandria VA……………160,530……..4,269…….4,377……..74
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….23,648.…24,458..…604
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………….75………78……….7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..159…….165…..…..8
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..….….7,876…..8,105……132
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011..……14,235…14,768..…223
Manassas…………………..41,641…..…..2,045….2,066…..…27
Manassas Park………….…17,307..….……648….…662……….8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….2,373….2,480.……22
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.…….….588……603………6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567…….25,562…26,398…..876
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308…….32,648…33,488…..863
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..135,729..139,985..3,651

This is a 3% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.61%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. Last week, there were only 15 new fatalities reported out of 4,256 new cases. This is a mortality rate of less than 0.4%. The population known to have been infected is 2.61% or one confirmed case for every 38 people. Even if the actual infection rate is four times or more higher, this is a long way from “herd immunity.”

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,146 cases (3,040 last week) and 35 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 1,827 cases (1,764 last week) and 27 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,626 confirmed cases (1,597 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,619 confirmed cases (1,585 last week) and 24 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. They had been having a growth in cases since they reopened, but put in new regulations and restrictions these last few weeks, so the number of new cases has declined and stayed down. So far, they have been doing a decent job at containing this.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 3,009 cases this week (2,788 last week) and 5 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million)  is still running around 1,000 cases a day (1,261 yesterday). This has been the case for months. It does not seem to want to establish a steady downward trend, but at least it is not going up (maybe).

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 396 cases (370 last week) and 3 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow.

Weekly update number 30 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased by 4,326 new cases. Last week there were 4,012 new cases. So it continues to rise. So last month we had two weeks of less than 3,000 cases a week and now it has gone back up.

In contrast, Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, is in trouble with 22K new cases reported for yesterday. It is an amazing collapse of control from what they had. It has gotten bad across Europe, in the UK (23K cases yesterday), France (35K), Spain (18K), Germany (13K) and Russia (16K)  The U.S., which has never gotten the virus under control, had 73K new cases yesterday. This is in contrast to places like China (47 cases yesterday), Japan (643), South Korea (103), Vietnam (3), Australia (14) and New Zealand (2). 

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 seventeen weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 12:24 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….16,498……16,973..…644
Arlington, VA……………..237,521……..4,437……..4,630……154
Alexandria VA……………160,530………4,144….…4,269….….74
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…….22,849……23,648……605
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………….75……..….75……….7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..157……….159………..8
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850..….….7,634….…7,876…….130
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011..……13,735……14,235……223
Manassas…………………..41,641…..…..2,018……..2,045….…27
Manassas Park………….…17,307..….……634………..648………8
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….2,287……..2,373….…21
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144.…….….576……….588………6
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567…….24,664……25,562…..870
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308…….31,695……32,648…..859
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..131,403….135,729…3,636

This is a 3% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 2.68%, which is high, but has been steadily declining. The population known to have been infected is 2.53% or one confirmed case for every 40 people. Even if the actual infection rate is four times or more higher, this is a long way from “herd immunity.”

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg.

Harrisonburg, VA is reporting 3,040 cases (2,945 last week) and 35 deaths, while Rockingham County, where the town resides, is reporting 1,764 cases (1,701 last week) and 27 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA has 1,597 confirmed cases (1,536 last week) and 31 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA, where the town resides, has 1,585 confirmed cases (1,501 last week) and 24 deaths. This is where UVA is located. UVA had a covid tracker which is worth looking at: https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker. They had been having a growth in cases since they reopened, but put in new regulations and restrictions these last few weeks, so the number of new cases has declined and stayed down. So far, they have been doing a decent job at containing this.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA has 2,788 cases this week (2,565 last week) and 5 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million)  is still running around 1,000 cases a day (1,123 yesterday). This has been the case for months. It does not seem to want to establish a steady downward trend, but at least it is not going up (maybe).

Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area in the outer banks, has had 370 cases (341 last week) and 3 deaths. With summer over, not sure why this continues to grow.