Category Coronavirus

This is weekly update number 64 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) slightly declined to 445 new cases over the week. Last week it was 461 new cases. Twenty-two weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe also seems to be slowly bringing the virus under control. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 834 new cases for yesterday. The UK has had an upswing, reporting 12K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. It was down below 2K cases a day a month ago. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Yesterday they reported for France 2K new cases. Their death count of 110,991 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, Russia, UK, and Italy). Still, it is less than the UK with 128,272 dead in a population of 67.1 million, Italy with 127,322 deaths in a population of 59.2 million, Belgium with 25,144 deaths out of a population of 11.6 million, Brazil with 504,717 deaths out of a population of 213.3 million, Mexico with 231,505 deaths out of a population of 126.0 million, Argentina with 90,281 deaths out of a population of 45.8 million) and Colombia with 101,302 deaths out of a population of 51.0 million. These seven countries have a higher reported mortality rate than the United States (602,504 deaths in a population of 331.9 million). Don’t know for certain if they are the only seven countries with a higher reported mortality rate. The new case count yesterday for Spain remains around 4K, for Germany it is 685 and for Russia 16K new cases a day. Keep in mind, these are daily rates. They do add up over the course of a week. The U.S. (population 331.7 million) had 11K new cases yesterday, which is about the same at last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. In Asia and the Pacific the number of reported cases remains low: China (31), Japan (1,443), South Korea (644), Taiwan (77), Vietnam (252), Singapore (18), Australia (14) and New Zealand (3). Again, these are daily rates. Japan’s rate is pretty high for a country about to host the Olympics.

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 11:21 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. 

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….49,213…..49,284…..1,141
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,296…..15,299….…257
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,851…..11,864……..138
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……77,011…..77,057…..1,111
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….429………429……..…7
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.………..567……..571……….20
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……..28,019….28,065…….283
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011……..45,607….45,728…….505
Manassas…………………..41,641..……..4,310…….4,312……..48
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,219……1,219………11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,462…..11,491………82
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,150……2,150………25
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……71,071…71,119…..1,622
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……85,375…85,437….1,594
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….403,580..404,025….6,844

The Mortality Rate is 1.69%. There were 19 fatalities in the last week compared to 445 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 4.27% (which is high, but probably caused by the declining number of reported new cases). The population known to have been infected is 7.53% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. 

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 144 new cases yesterday. Last week it was 137 cases. Twenty-one weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,181 cases (2,171 last week) and 10 deaths.

 

This is weekly update number 63 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) slightly declined to 461 new cases over the week. Last week it was 477 new cases. Twenty-one weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe also seems to be slowly bringing the virus under control. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 1.3 K new cases for yesterday. The UK has had an upswing, reporting 8K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Yesterday they reported for France 3K new cases. Their death count of 110,692 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 128,181 dead in a population of 67.1 million, Italy with 127,101 deaths in a population of 59.2 million, Belgium with 25,099 deaths out of a population of 11.6 million, Brazil with 490,696 deaths out of a population of 213.3 million and Mexico with 230,428 deaths out of a population of 126.0 million. These five countries have a higher reported mortality rate than the United States (600,313 deaths in a population of 331.9 million). Don’t know for certain if they are the only five countries with a higher mortality rate, but I think so. The new case count yesterday for Spain remains around 3.5K, for Germany it is 1K and for Russia 14K new cases a day. Keep in mind, these are daily rates. They do add up over the course of a week. The U.S. (population 331.7 million) had 11K new cases yesterday, which is good progress. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. In Asia and the Pacific the number of reported cases remains low: China (23), Japan (1,414), South Korea (544), Taiwan (135), Vietnam (423), Singapore (14), Australia (13) and New Zealand (2). Again, these are daily rates. Japan’s rate is pretty high for a country about to host the Olympics.

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 10:22 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. 

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….49,119…..49,213…..1,138
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,295….15,296………257
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,846…..11,851……..137
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……77,028…..77,011…..1,107
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….430………429……..…8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.……….567……….567………20
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……..27,986…..28,019……281
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011……..45,510…..45,607……504
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,311…….4,310……..47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,218…….1,219……..11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,456……11,462……..82
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,140…….2,150……..25
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,995…..71,071…1,619
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……85,218..…85,375…1,589
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….403,119….403,580…6,825

The Mortality Rate is 1.69%. There were 25 fatalities in the last week compared to 461 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 5.42% (which is high, but probably caused by the declining number of reported new cases). The population known to have been infected is 7.52% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. 

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 137 new cases yesterday. Last week it was 182 cases. Twenty weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,171 cases (2,156 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 62 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) declined to 477 new cases over the week. Last week it was 916 new cases. Twenty weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe also seems to be slowly bringing the virus under control. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 2K new cases for yesterday. The UK has had an upswing, reporting 6K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Yesterday they reported for France 6K new cases. Their death count of 110,302 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 128,118 dead in a population of 66.8 million, Italy with 126,690 deaths in a population of 59.2 million or Belgium with 25,051 deaths out of a population of 11.6 million. These three countries have a higher reported mortality rate than the United States (598,333 deaths in a population of 331.7 million). Don’t know for certain if they are the only three countries with a higher mortality rate, but I think so. The new case count yesterday for Spain is 3.5K, for Germany it is 2K and for Russia 10K new cases a day. Keep in mind, these are daily rates. They do add up over the course of a week. The U.S. (population 331.7 million) had 15K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (19, but see link below), Japan (1,883), South Korea (601), Taiwan (203), Vietnam (195), Singapore (9), Australia (5) and New Zealand (4). Again, these are daily rates. Japan’s rate is pretty high for a country about to host the Olympics.

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 9:23 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. 

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….49,011……49,119…1,137
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,291……15,295…..257
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,837……11,846…..137
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……77,010…..77,028..1,105
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….431………430………8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.……….567………567……..20
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……..27,940…..27,986……280
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….45,438.….45,510……499
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,311…….4,311…….47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,217……..1,218…….11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,428……11,456….…81
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,137……..2,140…….25
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,935…..70,995…1,613
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……85,089…..85,218…1,580
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….402,642…403,119….6,800

 

The Mortality Rate is 1.69%. There were 24 fatalities in the last week compared to 477 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 5.03% (which is high, but probably caused by the declining number of reported new cases). The population known to have been infected is 7.51% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I gather that the number vaccinated (at least one shot) at least 80% for this area and if we add to this the number previously infected we are looking at around 90% or more of the population partially or fully protected.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 182 new cases yesterday. Last week it was 59 cases. Nineteen weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,156 cases (2,147 last week) and 10 deaths.

Concerning China: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-returns-to-its-strict-covid-restrictions-to-fight-a-new-outbreak/ar-AAKRR89?ocid=msedgntp

This is weekly update number 61 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) declined to 916 new cases. Last week it was 1,076 new cases. Nineteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe seems to be slowly bringing the spread of the virus under control. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 2.5K new cases for yesterday, which is a notable improvement. The UK has had a slight upswing, reporting 3K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 109,827 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 128,045 dead in a population of 66.8 million, Italy with 126,221 deaths in a population of 59.2 million or Belgium with 24,968 deaths out of a population of 11.6 million. These three countries have a higher reported mortality rate than the United States (595,302 deaths in a population of 331.7 million). Don’t know for certain if they are the only three countries with a higher mortality rate, but I think so. Yesterday they reported for France 10K new cases. The new case count yesterday for Spain is 4K, for Germany it is 3K and for Russia 9K new cases a day. The U.S. (population 331.7 million) had 23K new cases yesterday, which is the same as last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (31), Japan (2,641), South Korea (677), Taiwan (331), Vietnam (193), Singapore (18), Australia (6) and New Zealand (6).

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 11:24 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. This website has been recently revised and is worth looking at.

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….48,822……49,011…..1,135
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,284..….15,291…….256
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,831..….11,837…….137
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……76,877.….77,010…..1,103
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….433.………431………..8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..……….560.……..567………19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….27,889..….27,940…….278
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….45,361..….45,438.…..499
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,307..…..4,311………47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,217..…..1,217..……11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,393……11,428…..…81
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,133….…2,137….…25
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,743..…70,935…1,604
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……84,876…..85,089…1,573
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….401,726…402,642….6,776

 

The Mortality Rate is 1.68%. There were 156 fatalities in the last week compared to 916 new cases. These odd statistics are driven by Montgomery County adding 67 new cases this last week while Prince Georges added 73 new cases. This was probably just catching up in the record keeping. The population known to have been infected is 7.50% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I gather that the number vaccinated (at least one shot) at least 70% for this area and if we add to this the number previously infected we are looking at around 80% or more of the population partially protected.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 59 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 654 cases. Eighteen weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,147 cases (2,136 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 60 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) declined to 1,076 new cases. Last week it was 2,015 new cases (revised calculation). Eighteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe seems to be slowly bring the spread of the virus under control. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 3K new cases for yesterday, which is a notable improvement. The UK continues to contain the virus with 2K new cases reported yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 109,041 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 128,010 dead in a population of 66.8 million, Italy with 125,622 deaths in a population of 59.2 million or Belgium with 24,873 deaths out of a population of 11.6 million. These three countries have a higher reported mortality rate than the United States (591,035 deaths in a population of 331.7 million). Don’t know for certain if they are the only three countries with a higher mortality rate, but I think so. Yesterday they reported for France only 3K new cases. This is unusually low as they were reporting 10K cases two days earlier. The new case count yesterday for Spain is 5K, for Germany it is 3K and Russia remains permanently wedded to 8K new cases a week, as it has for weeks (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures and will blog about this soon). The U.S. (population 331.7 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 23K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (no report, but very low), Japan (3,918), South Korea (699), Taiwan (539, which is their highest daily total), Vietnam (527, which is also their highest daily total), Singapore (30), Australia (17) and New Zealand (1 on 5/24/21).

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 11:20 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. This website has been recently revised and is worth looking at.

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….48,634……48,822….1,131
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,279……15,284…….256
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,799……11,831…….137
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……76,717…..76,877….1,092
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….434………433……….9
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..……….557………560………19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….27,817…..27,889…….278
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….45,197…..45,361……..500
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,302…….4,307………47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,218…….1,217………11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,327……11,393………79
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,122…….2,133………24
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,686…..70,743….1,537
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……84,561…..84,876….1,500
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….400,650…401,726….6,620

The Mortality Rate is 1.65%. There were 35 fatalities in the last week compared to 1,076 new cases or a weekly mortality rate of 3.25%. This is almost certainly caused by the lag in mortality compared to the declining number of cases. The population known to have been infected is 7.49% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I gather that the number vaccinated (at least one shot) at least 70% for this area and if we add to this the number previously infected we are looking at around 80% or more of the population partially protected.

The Virginia University Towns:

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers. I gather that they have all emptied out now and gone home for the summer. Therefore, let us take a look at the stats for the area for a second.

UVA seemed to have the strictest and best covid control efforts. It shows:

Charlottesville (pop. 47K) with 4,011 cases and 57 deaths 

Albemarle County (pop. 109K) with 5,787 cases and 83 deaths.

This comes out to 85 and 53 cases per thousand people and 1.21 and 0.76 deaths per thousand people.

To compare them to other areas:

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) with 6,495 cases and 94 deaths

Rockingham County (pop. 81K) with 6,800 cases and 108 deaths.

This comes out to 120 and 84 cases per thousand people and 1.74 and 1.33 deaths per thousand people.

This is an indirect comparison of James Madison University policy and UVA policy, which was radically different, especially in the fall. One can see the difference in the figures of for the overall population.

To the south is Liberty U and Virginia Tech. Lynchburg (home of Liberty U.) did not fare well.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K) with 7,881 cases and 154 deaths.
For Lynchburg this comes out to 96 cases per thousand people and 1.88 deaths per thousand people. They have the highest death rate, leading me to suspect that the testing was less.

 

Montgomery County (pop. 99K) with 9,399 cases and 97 deaths.

For Montgomery Country this comes out to 95 cases per thousand people and 0.97 deaths per thousand people.

This was somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you had four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They did show different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 654 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 378 cases. Seventeen weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,136 cases (2,123 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 59 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased slightly to 2,015 new cases. Last week it was lower than it was forty-six weeks ago. There were 1,981 new cases last week and 3,676 new cases the week before. Seventeen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 4K new cases for yesterday, which is a notable improvement. The UK continues to keep the virus under control with 2K new cases reported for 17 May. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France has the fourth highest number of cases in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 108,208 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 127,956 dead in a population of 66.8 million or Italy with 124,646 deaths in a population of 60.3 million. Yesterday they reported for France 17K new cases, so they do appear to be getting this back under control. The new case count yesterday for Spain is 4K, for Germany it is 8K and Russia remains at 8K as it has for weeks (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures and will blog about this soon). The U.S. (population 331.4 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 28K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (no report, but very low), Japan (5,204), South Korea (653), Taiwan (243, which is one of their highest daily totals), Vietnam (153, which is one of their highest daily totals), Singapore (38), Australia (9) and New Zealand (5).

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 1:20 PM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. This website has been recently revised and is worth looking at.

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….48,282….48,634…..1,124
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,239….15,279……..256
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,759….11,799……..135
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……76,460….76,717…..1,081
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….430……..434…………9
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..………556…..…557………..19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….27,686….27,817…..…277
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….45,064….45,197……..496
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,296……4,302……….47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,217……1,218….……11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,239…..11,327….…..79
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,122…….2,122….…..23
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,298.…70,686…..1,537
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……83,987.…84,561…..1,491
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….398,635…400,650…..6,585

This is a 1% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate is 1.64%. Three weeks ago there were 6,457 fatalities reported, now it is up to 6,585 total fatalities or 128 fatalities in the last three weeks. The number of new cases in the last three weeks is 400,650 – 392,978 = 7,672. This is a mortality rate of 1.67%. The population known to have been infected is 7.47% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I gather that the number vaccinated (at least one shot) is around 70% for this area and if we add to this the number previously infected we are looking at around 80% or more of the population partially protected.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers. I gather that they have all emptied out now and gone home for the summer. Therefore, this will be the last time I report on this.

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) is reporting 6,489 cases (6,477 last week) and 94 deaths, while Rockingham County (pop. 81K), where the town resides, is reporting 6,770 cases (6,739 last week) and 107 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA (pop. 47K) has reported 4,011 cases (4,010 last week) and 57 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA (pop. 109K), where the town resides, has reported 5,784 cases (5,760 last week) and 83 deaths. This is where UVA is located. One notes with similar populations the comparison between Harrisonburg/Rockingham vs Charlottesville/Albemarle.

For UVA, https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker, after peaking at 229 new cases on 2/16, they had imposed new restrictions. The number of cases dropped precipitously and they partially eased up the restrictions. This Monday (5/17) there were no new cases. It does show what can be done with quick reaction and actual lock-down procedures.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K), the home of Liberty University, has reported 7,841 cases (7,744 last week) cases and 150 deaths.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA (pop. 99K) has reported 9,390 cases (9,363 last week) and 96 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

I do report the population, number of cases and number of deaths for each of these areas. This is because this is somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you have four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They do have different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 378 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 600 cases. Sixteen weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,123 cases (2,114 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 58 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) decreased to only 1,981 new cases. This lower than it was forty-five weeks ago. There were 3,676 new cases last week. Sixteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 7K new cases for yesterday. The UK has brought it under control with 2K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France now has reported more cases of Coronavirus than the UK or Russia, making them the fourth highest in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 107,096 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 127,890 dead in a population of 66.8 million or Italy with 123,282 deaths in a population of 60.3 million. Yesterday they reported for France 20K new cases, so they do appear to be getting this back under control. The new case count yesterday for Spain is 5K, for Germany it is 20K and Russia remains at 8K (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures and will blog about this soon). The U.S. (population 331.4 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 34K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (17), Japan (6,360 and rising), South Korea (635), Taiwan (11), Vietnam (82), Singapore (25), Australia (8) and New Zealand (2 on 9 May).

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 9:20 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….48,041…….48,282…1,104
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,156……15,239……252
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,700……11,759…….133
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……76,144……76,460….1,070
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….425………..430…….…8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..……….552………..556………19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….27,483…….27,686……274
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….44,806…….45,064……479
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,289………4,296…….47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,215………1,217……..12
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960…….11,155……..11,239……..74
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……..2,109………2,122……..22
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……70,075……70,298….1,521
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……83,504……83,987….1,442
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425….396,654.…398,635…..6,457


This is a 1% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area two weeks ago was 1.64%. Due to technical difficulties I was unable to get the death counts for any fo these locales the last two weeks except for DC (which is up to 1,113). Therefore deaths from two weeks ago are still reported. Two weeks ago there were 52 new fatalities reported out of 4,620 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 1.13%. The population known to have been infected is 7.43% or one confirmed case for every 13 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. It is clear that now that number vaccinated and the number previously infected is 70-80% of the population of the area and as a result we are seeing a noticeable and sudden decline in cases.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. They are now emptying out and the semester is ending. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers. Again, I have not been able to get updated death figures for the last two weeks.

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) is reporting 6,477 cases (6,465 last week) and 94 deaths, while Rockingham County (pop. 81K), where the town resides, is reporting 6,739 cases (6,712 last week) and 105 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA (pop. 47K) has reported 4,010 cases (4,013 last week) and 55 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA (pop. 109K), where the town resides, has reported 5,760 cases (5,739 last week) and 82 deaths. This is where UVA is located. One notes with similar populations the comparison between Harrisonburg/Rockingham vs Charlottesville/Albemarle.

For UVA, https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker, after peaking at 229 new cases on 2/16, they had imposed new restrictions. The number of cases dropped precipitously and they partially eased up the restrictions. This Monday (5/10) there were only 2 new cases. It does show what can be done with quick reaction and actual lock-down procedures. They are also starting to vaccinate the students there. They have also last week loosened the indoor restrictions to 25 students from the previous restriction of 6 students. So far there has been no increase in the number of cases as a result.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K), the home of Liberty University, has reported 7,744 cases (7,650 last week) cases and 146 deaths.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA (pop. 99K) has reported 9,363 cases (9,320 last week) and 89 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

I do report the population, number of cases and number of deaths for each of these areas. This is because this is somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you have four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They do have different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 600 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 779 cases. Fifteen weeks ago it was 4,707. 

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,114 cases (2,087 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 57 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) decreased to 3,676 new cases. There were 4,620 new cases last week. Fifteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 9K new cases for yesterday. The UK has brought it under control with 2K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France now has reported more cases of Coronavirus than the UK or Russia, making them the fourth highest in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 105,792 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, India, Mexico, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 127,830 dead in a population of 66.8 million or Italy with 122,005 deaths in a population of 60.3 million. Yesterday they reported for France 24K new cases. They are only very slowly getting control of the situation. The new case count for Spain is 16K for 5/03, for Germany it is 24K and Russia remains at 8K (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures). The U.S. (population 331.4 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 41K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (19 cases on 5/03), Japan (4,197), South Korea (676), Taiwan (8), Vietnam (10), Singapore (17), Australia (15) and New Zealand (6).

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 cases forty-four weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 2:20 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….47,533……48,041…….1,104
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..….15,020……15,156…….…252
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,595……11,700……….133
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……75,478……76,144…….1,070
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.………423…………425…………8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..………544…………552……….19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……27,159…….27,483……..274

Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….44,414……44,806………479
Manassas…………………..41,641..……..4,297……..4,289………..47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….……1,195……..1,215……….12

Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……10,979…….11,155……….74
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144…….2,054………2,109……….22
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……69,624……70,075……1,521
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……82,663……83,504……1,442
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..392,978…396,654……..6,457

 

This is a 1% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area last week was 1.64%. Due to technical difficulties I was unable to get the death counts for any locale this week except for DC (which is up to 1,019). Therefore last weeks deaths are still reported. Last week there were 52 new fatalities reported out of 4,620 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 1.13%. The population known to have been infected is 7.39% or one confirmed case for every 14 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I don’t have a report of how many people have been vaccinated in this DC area, but I have heard that half the U.S. has already gotten their first shot. So we are certainly looking at 50-60% who have had their first shot (I have had both of mine) and we are looking at 60-70% of the DC area having either been infected or vaccinated.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the Christmas holidays. Most of these universities went back in session in mid-January, except for UVA, which started its sessions at the beginning of February. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers.

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) is reporting 6,465 cases (6,434 last week) and 94 deaths, while Rockingham County (pop. 81K), where the town resides, is reporting 6,712 cases (6,636 last week) and 105 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA (pop. 47K) has reported 4,013 cases (3,993 last week) and 55 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA (pop. 109K), where the town resides, has reported 5,739 cases (5,673 last week) and 82 deaths. This is where UVA is located. One notes with similar populations the comparison between Harrisonburg/Rockingham vs Charlottesville/Albemarle.

For UVA (https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker), after peaking at 229 new cases on 2/16, they had imposed new restrictions. The number of cases dropped precipitously and they partially eased up the restrictions. This Monday (4/26) there were only 2 new cases. It does show what can be done with quick reaction and actual lock-down procedures. They are also starting to vaccinate the students there. They have also last week loosened the indoor restrictions to 25 students from the previous restriction of 6 students. So far there has been no increase in the number of cases as a result.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K), the home of Liberty University, has reported 7,650 cases (7,549 last week) cases and 146 deaths.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA (pop. 99K) has reported 9,320 cases (9,226 last week) and 89 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

I do report the population, number of cases and number of deaths for each of these areas. This is because this is somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you have four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They do have different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.  

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had only 779 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 1,091 cases. Fourteen weeks ago it was 4,707. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,087 cases (2,074 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 56 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) decreased ever so slightly to 4,620 new cases. There were 4,753 new cases last week. Fourteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 10K new cases for yesterday. The UK looks like it has brought it under control with 3K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France now has reported more cases of Coronavirus than the UK or Russia, making them the fourth highest in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 103,764 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, Mexico, India, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 127,734 dead in a population of 66.8 million or Italy with 119,912 deaths in a population of 60.3 million. Yesterday they reported for France 30K new cases. They appear to have lost control of the situation. The new case count for Spain is 8K, for Germany it is 26K and Russia remains at 8K (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures). The U.S. (population 331.4 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 51K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (20 cases), Japan (4,966), South Korea (775), Taiwan (6), Vietnam (5), Singapore (12), Australia (33) and New Zealand (8 on 4/26).

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 cases forty-three weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 11:20 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….46,869……47,533……1,104
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..….14,861……15,020…….…252
Alexandria VA……………160,530……11,491..….11,595………..133
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.…..74,708..….75,478……..1,070
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.………415……….423……………8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..………539……….544………….19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……26,795…..27,159………..274

Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….43,957….44,414…..……479
Manassas…………………..41,641..……..4,278……4,297…………47
Manassas Park………….…17,307….……1,184……1,195…….…..12

Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……10,789…..10,979…….….74
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144…….2,004…….2,054……..…22
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……68,945..…69,624……1,521
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……81,523…..82,663……1,442
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..388,358…392,978……6,457

 

This is a 1% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 1.64%. This last week there were 52 new fatalities reported out of 4,620 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 1.13%. The population known to have been infected is 7.32% or one confirmed case for every 14 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I don’t have a report of how many people have been vaccinated in this DC area, but I have heard that half the U.S. has already gotten their first shot. So we are certainly looking at 50-60% who have had their first shot (I have had both of mine) and we are looking at 60-70% of the DC area having either been infected or vaccinated.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the Christmas holidays. Most of these universities went back in session in mid-January, except for UVA, which started its sessions at the beginning of February. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers.

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) is reporting 6,434 cases (6,377 last week) and 94 deaths, while Rockingham County (pop. 81K), where the town resides, is reporting 6,636 cases (6,572 last week) and 105 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA (pop. 47K) has reported 3,993 cases (3,944 last week) and 55 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA (pop. 109K), where the town resides, has reported 5,673 cases (5,555 last week) and 82 deaths. This is where UVA is located. One notes with similar populations the comparison between Harrisonburg/Rockingham vs Charlottesville/Albemarle.

For UVA (https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker), after peaking at 229 new cases on 2/16, they had imposed new restrictions. The number of cases dropped precipitously and they partially eased up the restrictions. This Monday (4/26) there were only 4 new cases. It does show what can be done with quick reaction and actual lock-down procedures. They are also starting to vaccinate the students there. They have also this week loosened the indoor restrictions to 25 students from the previous restriction of 6 students. We shall see if the number of cases increase as a result.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K), the home of Liberty University, has reported 7,549 cases (7,465 last week) cases and 146 deaths.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA (pop. 99K) has reported 9,226 cases (9,140 last week) and 89 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

I do report the population, number of cases and number of deaths for each of these areas. This is because this is somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you have four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They do have different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.  

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 1,091 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 1,2368 cases. Thirteen weeks ago it was 4,707. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,074 cases (2,054 last week) and 10 deaths.

This is weekly update number 55 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) decreased to 4,753 new cases. There were 6,734 new cases last week. Thirteen weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Almost all of Europe is still struggling with controlling the spread of the disease. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 12K new cases for yesterday. The UK looks like it has brought it under control with 3K new cases yesterday. Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. France now has reported more cases of Coronavirus than the UK or Russia, making them the fourth highest in the world (after U.S., India and Brazil). Their death count of 101,714 (population 67.4 million) is the eighth highest reported deaths in the world (behind U.S., Brazil, Mexico, India, UK, Italy and Russia). Still, it is less than the UK with 127,557 dead in a population of 66.8 million or Italy with 117,633 deaths in a population of 60.3 million. Yesterday they reported for France 44K new cases. They appear to have lost control of the situation. The new case count for Spain is 21K on 2/19, for Germany it is 31K and Russia remains at 8K (not that I particularly trust the Russian figures). The U.S. (population 331.4 million), which has never gotten the virus under control, had 55K new cases yesterday, which is an improvement over last week. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. This is in contrast to places like China (29 cases), Japan (4,973 and on the rise), South Korea (731, same as last week), Taiwan (2), Vietnam (9), Singapore (14), Australia (20) and New Zealand (2).

The number of reported cases in the DC area was hovering around 8,000 to 9,500 a week for several months, then declined to a low of 2,406 cases forty-two weeks ago. It has since increased. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 10:20 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….46,209……46,869……1,097
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..….14,697…….14,861…..…249
Alexandria VA……………160,530……11,348…….11,491..……133
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.…..73,751…….74,708..…1,064
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.………406………..415……..….9
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574..………532……….539…….….18
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850……26,379……26,795……..274

Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011……43,368…….43,957……..480
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,242…..…4,278…….…46
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,177…….1,184………..12

Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……10,560…..10,789…….….72
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144…….1,961…….2,004…….…22
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……68,377…..68,945……1,501
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……80,598…..81,523…..1,428
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425…..383,605…388,358…..6,405

 

This is a 1% increase since last week. The Mortality Rate for the area is 1.65%. This last week there were 47 new fatalities reported out of 4,753 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 0.99%. The population known to have been infected is 7.24% or one confirmed case for every 14 people. The actual rate of infection may be higher, perhaps as much as four times higher. I don’t have a report of how many people have been vaccinated in this DC area, but I have heard that half the U.S. has already gotten their first shot. So we are certainly looking at 50-60% who have had their first shot (I have had both of mine) and we are looking at 60-70% of the DC area having either been infected or vaccinated.

Virginia has a number of large universities (23,000 – 36,000 students) located in more rural areas, often tied to a small town. This includes James Madison (JMU) at Harrisonburg, University of Virginia (UVA) at Charlottesville, Liberty University (LU) at Lynchburg and Virginia Tech (VT) at Blacksburg. Most of them were emptied out due to Thanksgiving and the Christmas holidays. Most of these universities went back in session in mid-January, except for UVA, which started its sessions at the beginning of February. I do not report on places like William and Mary (W&M) and Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) as they are located in or near major population centers.

Harrisonburg, VA (pop. 54K) is reporting 6,377 cases (6,305 last week) and 94 deaths, while Rockingham County (pop. 81K), where the town resides, is reporting 6,572 cases (6,477 last week) and 104 deaths. This is where James Madison University is located.

Charlottesville, VA (pop. 47K) has reported 3,944 cases (3,936 last week) and 55 deaths, while Albemarle County, VA (pop. 109K), where the town resides, has reported 5,555 cases (5,448 last week) and 82 deaths. This is where UVA is located. One notes with similar populations the comparison between Harrisonburg/Rockingham vs Charlottesville/Albemarle.

For UVA (https://returntogrounds.virginia.edu/covid-tracker), after peaking at 229 new cases on 2/16, they had imposed new restrictions. The number of cases dropped precipitously and they partially eased up the restrictions. This Monday (4/19) there were 10 new cases. It does show what can be done with quick reaction and actual lock-down procedures. They are also starting to vaccinate the students there.

Lynchburg (pop. 82K), the home of Liberty University, has reported 7,465 cases (7,415 last week) cases and 145 deaths.

Further south, Montgomery County, VA (pop. 99K) has reported 9,140 cases (9,021 last week) and 88 deaths. This is where Virginia Tech is located.

I do report the population, number of cases and number of deaths for each of these areas. This is because this is somewhat of a “laboratory-like” situation where you have four universities of 23K to 36K students located in rural areas of around 100K population. They do have different rates per capita in cases and in deaths.  

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 1,236 new cases yesterday. Last week it as 2,048 cases. Twelve weeks ago it was 4,707. For a long time, it pretty much ran 1,000 cases a day, neither going up or going down.

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has 2,054 cases (2,026 last week) and 9 deaths.