Excellence in Historical Research and Analysis
Excellence in Historical Research and Analysis
[The article below is reprinted from December 1996 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter. It was referenced in the recent series of posts addressing the battalion-level validation of Trevor Dupuy’s Tactical Numerical Deterministic Model (TNDM).] Time and the TNDM by…
[The article below is reprinted from December 1996 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter. It was referenced in the recent series of posts addressing the battalion-level validation of Trevor Dupuy’s Tactical Numerical Deterministic Model (TNDM).] How Attrition is Calculated in…
Today’s Friday Read summarizes a series of posts detailing a validation test of the Tactical Numerical Deterministic Model (TNDM) conducted by TDI in 1996. The test was conducted using a database of 76 historical battalion-level combat engagements ranging from World…
[The article below is reprinted from June 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The Second Test of the Battalion-Level Validation: Predicting Casualties Final Scorecard by Christopher A. Lawrence While writing the article on the use of armor in the…
[The article below is reprinted from April 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The Second Test of the TNDM Battalion-Level Validations: Predicting Casualties by Christopher A. Lawrence FANATICISM AND CASUALTY INSENSITIVE SYSTEMS: It was quite clear from looking at…
[The article below is reprinted from April 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The Second Test of the TNDM Battalion-Level Validations: Predicting Casualties by Christopher A. Lawrence SO WHERE WERE WE REALLY OFF? (WWII) In the ease of the…
[The article below is reprinted from April 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The Second Test of the TNDM Battalion-Level Validations: Predicting Casualties by Christopher A. Lawrence TIME AND THE TNDM: Before this validation was even begun, I knew…
[The article below is reprinted from April 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The Second Test of the TNDM Battalion-Level Validations: Predicting Casualties by Christopher A. Lawrence Actually, l was pretty pleased with the first test of the TNDM,…
Ever since publication of the U.S. National Defense Strategy by then-Secretary of Defense James Mattis’s Defense Department in early 2018 made the term “lethality” a foundational principle, there has been an open-ended discussion as to what the term actually means.…
[The article below is reprinted from April 1997 edition of The International TNDM Newsletter.] The First Test of the TNDM Battalion-Level Validations: Predicting the Winners by Christopher A. Lawrence CASE STUDIES: WHERE AND WHY THE MODEL FAILED CORRECT PREDICTIONS Modern…