This is the sixth provisional schedule for the second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We currently have 28 presentations scheduled by 21 speakers and two group discussions planned. Each slot is an hour long, so planning for a 45-minute presentation and 15 minutes of discussion.
The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. This is basically across the street by Tysons Corner Shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit from 495 (the Beltway). It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. It is in the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Parking is in the parking garage next door to it.
Conference description is here: The Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)
Costs, Hotels and Call for Presentations: Cost of the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17 -19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and Hotels for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and Call for Presentations for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).
The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through PayPal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com. The conference is priced to cover the costs of the conference facility. We are also set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.
We are set up for virtual presentations and virtual attendees. We are exploring the costs of having the presentations professionally recorded.
Schedule: Pike and Gallows Conference Center
Updated: 8 June 2023
Day 1: Analysis of Conventional Combat
0900 – 0930 Introductory remarks Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
0930 – 1030 Addressing the Decline in War Question with New Disaggregated Data
Dr. Michael Spagat (Royal Holloway University of London)
1030 – 1130 A Cautionary Tale: Alternative Interpretations of the Same Data – virtual
Jim Storr
1130 – 1230 Land Operations – consistencies and discrepancies between theory, historical analysis and doctrine LtC. Trygve Smidt (Norway)
1230 – 1400 Lunch
1400 – 1500 Temporal and Geographic Patterns of Fatal Casualty Rates in WWI and WWII Sasho Todorov
1500 – 1600 Force Ratios Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1600 – 1700 open
1700 – 1800 open
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – Rangos
Day 2: Analysis of Unconventional Warfare
0900 – 1000 Iraq, Data, Hypotheses and Afghanistan (old)
Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1000 – 1100 Evidence of Fabricated Survey Data Collected during the War in Iraq
Dr. Michael Spagat (Royal Holloway University of London)
1000 – 1100 Unburdened by History: Understanding Russia’s Growing Influence in Haiti Dr. Christopher Davis (UNCG)
1100 – 1200 open
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 The Right Way to Do Risk Analysis: A Primer and Update, With Examples from Pandemics Dr. Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1400 – 1500 Close Combat Overmatch Weapons (SLAMMER)
Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.)
1500 – 1600 Chemical Weapons in Syria – virtual Jennifer Schlacht, M.A. – virtual
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: The Next Middle East Wars
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – BJs
Day 3: Other Analysis of Warfare
0900 – 1000 Russian Information Warfare Against Western Democracies Since 2013: A review and update Dr. Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1000 – 1100 open
1100 – 1200 open
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History – virtual
Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies, Australia)
1400 – 1500 The Future of TDI and work of the conference (new)
Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1500 – 1600 open
1600 – 1700 open
Evening: Happy hour – Rangos
Schedule: Einstein Conference Room
Day 1: Poster and Book Room
Opened at 0800
Afternoon Day 1: Other Analysis of Warfare
1400 – 1500 History of Pneumatic Combat Weapons Jacob Friend
1500 – 1600 Soviet WWII Aerial Photography Eugene Matyukhin
1600 – 1700 Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45
Daniel Horvath – virtual
Day 2: Analysis of Conventional Combat
0900 – 1000 Wargaming 101 William Sayers
1000 – 1100 Urban Warfare (old) Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1100 – 1200 Beaches by the Numbers – virtual
Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill (Concordia University, Quebec)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Study of Pneumatic Weapons in Sub/Urban Combat
Jacob Friend
1400 – 1500 Open
1500 – 1600 Penetrate, Dis-Integrate and Exploit: The Israeli Counter-Offensive at the Suez Canal, 1973 – virtual LtC. Nathan A Jennings, PhD
1600 – 1700 Operation “Sea Lion”: Simulating the German 1940 invasion of England – virtual Dr. Niall MacKay (University of York)
Day 3: Researching Operations
0900 – 1000 The AEF and Consolidation of Gains Operations Durning the Meuse-Argonne Offensive Dr. Christopher Davis (UNCG)
1000 – 1100 Kursk Photo Analysis Eugene Matyukhin
1100 – 1200 The Red Army’s Offensive Operations in Ukraine, 1943-44 Dr. Richard Harrison
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Patterns of Explosive Violence Harm in Ukraine Before and After the 24 Feb. Invasion Chiara Torelli (AOAV) – virtual
1400 – 1500 Competing Proxy Strategies in the Russo-Ukrainian War and a War of Attrition – LtC. Amos Fox
1500 – 1600 Open
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: Russo-Ukrainian War
The presentations from all three days of the first HAAC are here: Presentations from the first HAAC – all three days | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).
