The Warrior Monk

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“Warrior Monk” is a cool nickname. Like it better than “Mad Dog”….which brings up another image:

md20-20

Anyhow, don’t want to be pre-mature, but the rumor has it from a very good source (Donald Trump) that retired General James Mattis is going to be our next Secretary of Defense.

Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Mattis

My last post on the subject:

Too busy to read

Andrew Bacevich comments on the subject (the link to the long article is in my previous post):

Yet Pres. Trump is also likely to double down on the use of conventional military force. In that regard, his promise to “quickly and decisively bomb the hell out of [Islamic State]” offers a hint of what is to come.

Trump’s appointment of the uber-hawkish retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn as his national security adviser and his rumored selection of retired U.S. Marine Corps Gen. James “Mad Dog” Mattis as defense secretary suggest that he means what he says. In sum, a Trump administration seems unlikely to reexamine the conviction that the problems roiling the Greater Middle East will someday, somehow yield to a U.S.-imposed military solution.

Having retired generals as the National Security Advisor and as Secretary of Defense does not necessarily indicate only a kinetic solution to all problems, but there is always a concern with “groupthink,” to use a still valid term from the 60s. One only has to look at the early recommendations made to President Kennedy during the Cuban Missile Crisis to appreciate the dangers of this.

The interesting thing is that Trump himself on multiple occasions has expressed a desire to disengage from various areas of the world. I for one, still have no idea what our National Security Policies are going to be, and am not sure we can determine anything from these cabinet picks. I wonder if the incoming administration has decided what our National Security Policies are going to be.

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Christopher A. Lawrence
Christopher A. Lawrence

Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and military analyst. He is the Executive Director and President of The Dupuy Institute, an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military experience.

Mr. Lawrence was the program manager for the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, the Kursk Data Base, the Modern Insurgency Spread Sheets and for a number of other smaller combat data bases. He has participated in casualty estimation studies (including estimates for Bosnia and Iraq) and studies of air campaign modeling, enemy prisoner of war capture rates, medium weight armor, urban warfare, situational awareness, counterinsurgency and other subjects for the U.S. Army, the Defense Department, the Joint Staff and the U.S. Air Force. He has also directed a number of studies related to the military impact of banning antipersonnel mines for the Joint Staff, Los Alamos National Laboratories and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation.

His published works include papers and monographs for the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation, in addition to over 40 articles written for limited-distribution newsletters and over 60 analytical reports prepared for the Defense Department. He is the author of Kursk: The Battle of Prokhorovka (Aberdeen Books, Sheridan, CO., 2015), America’s Modern Wars: Understanding Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam (Casemate Publishers, Philadelphia & Oxford, 2015), War by Numbers: Understanding Conventional Combat (Potomac Books, Lincoln, NE., 2017) and The Battle of Prokhorovka (Stackpole Books, Guilford, CT., 2019)

Mr. Lawrence lives in northern Virginia, near Washington, D.C., with his wife and son.

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