I did do a briefing last week in Norway that concluded:
Losses in 2022:
Ukrainian Army:
- 13,500 – 16,500 killed
- 54,000 – 66,000 wounded
- 6,000 captured
- 1,000 missing
Russian Army:
- 16,028 – 19,028 killed (including LPR and DPR)
- 64,112 – 76,112 wounded
- 1,000 captured
- 1,000? missing
Civilians:
- 6,655 killed as of 1 December
- Real figure is probably thousands more
The (slightly edited) full briefing is here (the figures are on slide 46):Â Some Observations from the War in Ukraine (2)
The Pentagon has just claimed that total Russian losses may exceed 110K. That is in line with my figures.
This briefing is also included in my periodic Russo-Ukrainian War updates. The briefing covers more than just casualties. The outline is:
- Losses
- Wounded-to-killed ratios
- Combat Effectiveness
- Urban Warfare
- U.S. Intelligence Advantage
- Duration of War
I was considering adding a section on density of deployments, but that required a little more preparation work than I have had the time for and the presentation was already getting too long. Maybe later.
The briefing was “tested” on the third day of the historical analysis conference (see: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)) and then bounced it by a couple of other people. It is nothing different than what I have been saying for a while in my blog posts. I did email the Human Rights Ombudsman in the Donetsk People’s Republic (Daria Morozova) to ask about the DPR figures, but not surprisingly, did not get a response.
The links to the Norwegian Defense Conference “Land Operations and Combined Arms – Lessons Identified from the War in Ukraine” are here: Internasjonalt forskningsseminar: «Land operations and Combined Arms – Lessons Identified from the War in Ukraine» – ForsvaretÂ
