Time of Collect $$$ for HAAC

The Historical Analysis Annual Conferences (HAAC) are intended to be self-supporting and to have a life and longevity unrelated to me or The Dupuy Institute. It is my intention to establish an elected board of 7 to 9 members at the end of first conference in 27-29 September to run the future conferences. This is intended to be a Historical Analysis Annual Conference, not a Dupuy Institute Historical Analysis Annual Conference.

The main conference room (the appropriately named Pike and Gallows Conference Center) has a capacity of 69 and comfortably seats 40 or more. The rental cost for this conference room is $6,000 for the three days. This was the basis for original pricing for attendance to the conference of $150 (40 x $150 = $6,000). The pricing of the conference was intended to be as low as possible but still cover expenses.

Each subsequent conference room costs $2,000 and seats 30 or more people. I have reserved one other conference room and have the option to reserve two more. 

The upper limit of the attendance appears to be around 200 people. Having never done this before, we do not know if we will have 40 people or more than 200 attendees.

So, at this point I need to get people to start committing to attend and the only clear way to determine this is to collect the attendance fee of $150 from everyone. So please, when you have a moment, if you plan on attending, please make payments to our paypal account SRichTDI@aol.com. 

To summarize: 

  1. Conference fee = $150
  2. Attendance for one day = $60
  3. Presenters get a $60 discount.
  4. Student discounted price = $20 for a day.
  5. The Dupuy Institute discount = free
    1. Former employees of TDI/TNDA/DMSI/HERO
    2. Former members of the board of TDI

We are set up to handle virtual attendees. They still need to pay the fee to reserve a slot. We do expect to have two virtual presenters (Helmbold and Fitzpatrick). We do have the option to record the conference but need to make some arrangements to do so. Not sure if this is something people are interested in, or would everyone prefer to comment, question, and discuss issues off camera? Let me know.

 

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The current schedule is: Schedule of the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 6 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

 

We do have 30 presentations scheduled by 20 speakers. We have slots available for at least another dozen presentations. Each slot is an hour long, so planning for a 45-minute presentation and 15 minutes of discussion.

If we get more requests than that, my bias is to either rent a third conference room at the facility or to reduce some presentations to 20 minutes with 10 minutes of discussion. This would allow us to do two presentations in an hour slot. We are probably not going to turn away any quality presentations.

We have created a new section called “Researching Operations,” which is somewhat related to but not quite the same as Operations Research. We are looking to add to that section presentations on Georgia in 2008, Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020 and Ukraine in 2022. Looking for volunteers for those, or for any other conflicts worth looking at.

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Christopher A. Lawrence
Christopher A. Lawrence

Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and military analyst. He is the Executive Director and President of The Dupuy Institute, an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military experience.

Mr. Lawrence was the program manager for the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, the Kursk Data Base, the Modern Insurgency Spread Sheets and for a number of other smaller combat data bases. He has participated in casualty estimation studies (including estimates for Bosnia and Iraq) and studies of air campaign modeling, enemy prisoner of war capture rates, medium weight armor, urban warfare, situational awareness, counterinsurgency and other subjects for the U.S. Army, the Defense Department, the Joint Staff and the U.S. Air Force. He has also directed a number of studies related to the military impact of banning antipersonnel mines for the Joint Staff, Los Alamos National Laboratories and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation.

His published works include papers and monographs for the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation, in addition to over 40 articles written for limited-distribution newsletters and over 60 analytical reports prepared for the Defense Department. He is the author of Kursk: The Battle of Prokhorovka (Aberdeen Books, Sheridan, CO., 2015), America’s Modern Wars: Understanding Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam (Casemate Publishers, Philadelphia & Oxford, 2015), War by Numbers: Understanding Conventional Combat (Potomac Books, Lincoln, NE., 2017) and The Battle of Prokhorovka (Stackpole Books, Guilford, CT., 2019)

Mr. Lawrence lives in northern Virginia, near Washington, D.C., with his wife and son.

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