Still maintain weekly updates of this coronavirus post. The last two weeks have been encouraging as the number of cases has declined from around 8,000 to 9,000 new cases a week to around 7,000 new cases two weeks ago to near 5,000 cases this last week. Wondering, with all the protests, if that decline will continue. All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of 11:33:09 AM: Johns Hopkins CSSE
The DC area is rather sprawling, with over 5 million people scattered across DC, Virginia and Maryland. Let me list the presence of virus by location. I list the number of cases from last week followed by the number of cases this week and then the current number of reported deaths. Population is the 2018 estimate from Wikipedia:
……………………..….Population…last week…this week.…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445……9,016….…9,474………..495
Arlington, VA……………..237,521……2,142….…2,280……….121
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….2,016….…2,125……..…47
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795…..11,596…..12,746……….422
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772………..55…..……56………….8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574………..67………. 69……….…6
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….2,659….…3,180…………67
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….5,837…… 6,376…….…118
Manassas…………………..41,641…….1,154……1,262…..…….12
Manassas Park………….…17,307……….332….…..360………….6
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……….738………831………….5
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144……….172……..194…………..0
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……11,924….13,124……….672
Prince Georges C., MD……909,308……15,738….16,753………613
Total……….…….………..5,365,425……63,446….68,830…….2,592
This is real progress, as the number of new cases dropped to 5,384. It was 8,200 new cases four weeks ago, 9,301 new cases three weeks ago, 8,591 new cases two weeks ago and 7,094 new cases last week. We shall see if it holds. This is a 8% increase since last week.
The Mortality Rate for the area is 3.77%, which is high. It either means lots of vulnerable people, or the number of cases of infection are being significantly underreported. The population known to be infected is 1.28%. or one confirmed case for every 78 people. It may be that over 2% of the area has been infected.
The Washington DC statistical area according to some also includes Warren, Clarke, Fauquier, and Spotsylvania Counties in Virginia, Jefferson County in West Virginia, Frederick, Howard, Charles and Calvert Counties in Maryland. I rarely go to these places and they were not listed in the Governor of Virginia’s order extending the lock-down in Northern Virginia.
Of interest to me is Albemarle County, VA with 260 confirmed cases (204 last week) and 8 deaths, and Charlottesville, VA which has 142 confirmed cases (128 last week) and 3 deaths. Montgomery County, VA is 96 cases this week (80 last week) and 1 death. Of course, who knows what will happen if you bring in tens of thousands of students in the fall. These two areas are the home of UVA and Virginia Tech, two large universities located in a more rural environment. Dare County, North Carolina, a beach area, has 25 cases (22 last week) and 1 death.
