Still trying to keep this as a weekly update, although I have been a little busy lately.
As I live and work in Northern Virginia, just a few miles outside of Washington, DC, the local situation is of interest to me, as I suspect it is to a few other readers. I will be maintaining these updates on Wednesdays for a while. Again, all the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website (which I gather is also maintained in the DC area), as of 2:33:17 PM: Johns Hopkins CSSE
The DC area is rather sprawling, with over 5 million people scattered across DC, Virginia and Maryland. Let me list the presence of virus by location. I list the number of cases from last week followed by the number of cases this week and then the current number of reported deaths. Population is the 2018 estimate from Wikipedia:
……………………….….Population…last week…this week.…Deaths
Washington D.C…………..702,445……8,406…..….9,016………..473
Arlington, VA…………..…..237,521……1,988………2,142……….120
Alexandria VA………….…160,530…….1,824………2,016…………46
Fairfax County, VA……..1,150,795……10,069…….11,596……….396
Falls Church, VA……..…….14,772…………53…………..55………….8
Fairfax City, VA……..………24,574…….…..59…………..67…………6
Loudoun County, VA………406,850…….2,274………2,659………..67
Prince Williams C., VA….…468,011…….5,074……….5,837…..…109
Manassas…………………….41,641…..…..966………1,154………..12
Manassas Park………….…..17,307……….280………….332………….6
Stafford Country, VA………149,960………..657…………738………….5
Fredericksburg, VA…….…..29,144…….…..136………….172……..….0
Montgomery C., MD….…1,052,567……..10,467………11,924……..633
Prince Georges C., MD….909,308……….14,100……..15,738……..565
Total……….…….…….…5,365,425………56,353……..63,446…..2,446
Well, this is real progress, as the number of new cases dropped to 7,093. It was 8,547 new cases four weeks ago, 8,200 new cases three weeks ago, 9,301 new cases two weeks ago and 8,591 new cases last week. We shall see if it holds. This is a 13% increase since last week.
The Mortality Rate for the area is 3.86%, which is high. It either means lots of vulnerable people, or the number of cases of infection are being significantly underreported. The population known to be infected is 1.18%. or one confirmed case for every 85 people. It may be that over 2% of the area has been infected.
The Washington DC statistical area according to some also includes Warren, Clarke, Fauquier, and Spotsylvania Counties in Virginia, Jefferson County in West Virginia, Frederick, Howard, Charles and Calvert Counties in Maryland. I rarely go to these places and they were not listed in the Governor of Virginia’s order extending the lock-down in Northern Virginia. Of interest to me is Albemarle County, VA with 204 confirmed cases (168 last week) and 8 deaths, and Charlottesville, VA which has 128 confirmed cases (97 last week) and 3 deaths. Montgomery County, VA is 80 cases this week (70 last week) and 1 death. Of course, who know what will happen if you bring in tens of thousands of students in the fall. These two areas are the home of UVA and Virginia Tech, two large universities located in a more rural environment. Dare County, North Carolina was 22 cases (22 last week) and 3 deaths.
