The Dupuy Institute

Excellence in Historical Research and Analysis

The Dupuy Institute

Excellence in Historical Research and Analysis

Two Generals

Christopher A. Lawrence
April 3, 2020

This article is interesting: ‘Protective bubbles’: How 2 Army generals stopped the spread of coronavirus among their soldiers

In the case of Daegu, South Korea I gather they started closing down the base around 20 February.
1. Total personnel is roughly 28,500.
2. A total of 2 soldiers and I gather 1 dependent became infected.
  1. This is 3 cases out of 28,500 or 0.01%.
  2. For South Korea it is 10,062 cases (as of 3:21:42 PM) out of a population of 51,780,579 or 0.02%
In the case of Vicenza, Italy they started closing it down 24 February.
1. Total personnel is 15,500: 4,000 soldiers, 2,750 Army civilians and 8,750 dependents.
2. “fewer than five” have tested positive.
  1. This is 4? cases out of 15,500 or 0.03%
  2. For Italy it is 119,827 cases out of 60,243,406 or 0.20%
One notes “The Defense Department has since banned individual military organizations or headquarters from releasing number of confirmed cases.”

The commander in South Korea, General Robert “Abe” Abrams is the son of General Creighton W. Abrams,. Jr. He is the brother of General John N. Abrams. General Creighton Abrams was the commander of the tank battalion that relieved Bastogne on 26 December 1944. He later replaced Westmoreland as commander in Vietnam. There is a tank named after him.

Picture is from this article: https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/2017/05/26/colonel-creighton-abrams-at-the-battle-of-the-bulge/

Christopher A. Lawrence

Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and military analyst. He is the Executive Director and President of The Dupuy Institute, an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military experience.

Mr. Lawrence was the program manager for the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, the Kursk Data Base, the Modern Insurgency Spread Sheets and for a number of other smaller combat data bases. He has participated in casualty estimation studies (including estimates for Bosnia and Iraq) and studies of air campaign modeling, enemy prisoner of war capture rates, medium weight armor, urban warfare, situational awareness, counterinsurgency and other subjects for the U.S. Army, the Defense Department, the Joint Staff and the U.S. Air Force. He has also directed a number of studies related to the military impact of banning antipersonnel mines for the Joint Staff, Los Alamos National Laboratories and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation.

His published works include papers and monographs for the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation, in addition to over 40 articles written for limited-distribution newsletters and over 60 analytical reports prepared for the Defense Department. He is the author of Kursk: The Battle of Prokhorovka (Aberdeen Books, Sheridan, CO., 2015), America’s Modern Wars: Understanding Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam (Casemate Publishers, Philadelphia & Oxford, 2015), War by Numbers: Understanding Conventional Combat (Potomac Books, Lincoln, NE., 2017) and The Battle of Prokhorovka (Stackpole Books, Guilford, CT., 2019)

Mr. Lawrence lives in northern Virginia, near Washington, D.C., with his wife and son.

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